Betting
WEDNESDAY RACING: Three Value Picks at Kempton
Three horses that can run well at a price at Kempton’s Wednesday evening meeting this week
Three horses that can run well at a price at Kempton’s Wednesday evening meeting this week
Published
1 year agoon
Having a punt on the action this Hump Day?
We’ve delved through the card and picked out our trio of value bets for the evening who could be currently underestimated by the bookmakers.
Take a read.
Mark Johnston is the winning-most trainer at Kempton so far this campaign and he saddles an interesting handicap debutant in the form of Natural Value in the opener.
He disappointed on debut but has ran with credit at Chelmsford on two occasions since, no match for the winner on the second attempt but that form was franked when that rival went in again with ease at Redcar on his next start.
The son of Exceed And Excel now gets a first crack at the mile trip and despite the fact he carries top-weight, his form suggests that a mark of 77 may not be beyond him.
Having improved with every run and with 5lbs claimer Jonny Peate in the saddle, there’s every chance that this gelding can hit the frame on his seasonal debut.
Hugo Palmer’s Frankel filly was thrown into the deep end after only one debut victory, which arrived at this track, where she was simply outclassed in a Listed contest at Bath.
She then ran a decent race behind a decent sort at Newcastle on her last start and that form has hardly been too tarnished since.
Now a four-year-old, it is still early days given she’s only had three outings to date and representing top connections, she could be worth siding with at the prices given her course history.
Roger Varian’s Valyrian Steel now needs to bounce back following her Epsom disappointment and Goldie Hawk was beaten at Windsor last time, so hopefully a return to a successful hunting ground can spark a revival in the selection.
John Spearing’s gelding has only won one of his 32 starts but he has placed on ten occasions and he made good appeal here at a decent price given his Kempton run back in March and when finishing a neck-second here when 3lbs higher in September.
Off the same mark of 48, the form from his third that day is working out strong (second and fourth both won since), and he ran another cracker at Bath in the meantime.
He remains 1lb above his only winning rating and Luke Morris looks a solid booking for the saddle in the finale.
Albeit with a wide draw to contend with, you’re getting a solid price to find out if he can handle it and there’s plenty of others here with more question marks lingering.
Dominic Chapman is senior content writer at Low6 with a passion for horse racing. He provides a NAP and NB every day throughout the week on selected National Hunt and Flat cards in both Britain and Ireland. Additionally, he hosts the Paddock Picks Podcast with former Welsh Grand National-winning pilot, Charlie Poste - the pair interviewing and discussing current racing topics with a special guest every week.
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